حاسبة نسبة المخاطرة إلى العائد

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R = (target - entry) / (entry - stop)
break-even win rate = 1 / (1 + R)
expectancy = winRate x reward - (1 - winRate) x risk

entry - stop

risk per share if the stop is hit

target - entry

reward per share if the target is reached

winRate

share of outcomes that reach the target, if you supply one

مثال محلول

Entry $50.00, stop $47.00, target $59.00 gives $3.00 of risk against $9.00 of reward, a 3.0:1 ratio. At that ratio the break-even win rate is 1 / (1 + 3) = 25%.

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وقف الخسارة

سعر محدد مسبقًا يخطط المستثمر للخروج عنده للحد من الخسائر. مستوى مرجعي لإدارة المخاطر، وليس نصيحة.

أسئلة شائعة

How do you calculate a risk/reward ratio?

Divide the distance from entry to target by the distance from entry to stop. Entering at $50 with a stop at $47 and a target at $59 is $9 of reward against $3 of risk, a ratio of 3.0 to 1.

What win rate do I need to break even?

One divided by one plus the ratio. At 3:1 you break even winning 25% of the time; at 1:1 you need 50%. This is arithmetic about the ratio itself and says nothing about how often any particular approach actually wins.

Does a higher ratio make a position better?

Not on its own. A distant target improves the ratio on paper but may be reached far less often, and the two move together in practice. The ratio is only half the picture; the frequency of each outcome is the other half, and neither is knowable in advance.

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